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Keywords: Uncertainty
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Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. March 2025, 11(1): 011108.
Paper No: RISK-24-1066
Published Online: December 9, 2024
...Antonios Kamariotis; Konstantinos Vlachas; Vasileios Ntertimanis; Ioannis Koune; Alice Cicirello; Eleni Chatzi In this paper, we provide a comprehensive definition and classification of various sources of uncertainty within the fields of structural dynamics, system identification, and structural...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. September 2023, 9(3): 031203.
Paper No: RISK-22-1069
Published Online: June 6, 2023
... of robustness to uncertainty as developed in info-gap decision theory. We explain that maximizing the robustness is complementary to—but distinct from—minimizing a measure of effort of the learning procedure. 1 Corresponding author. e-mail:  yakov@technion.ac.il e-mail:  scott.cogan@univ-fcomte.fr...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2022, 8(2): 021201.
Paper No: RISK-21-1023
Published Online: September 20, 2021
...Kalman Ziha The probabilistic safety analysis evaluates system reliability and failure probability by using statistics and probability theory. However, it cannot estimate the system safety uncertainties due to variabilities of probabilities in different system states. The article first summarizes...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. March 2022, 8(1): 011101.
Paper No: RISK-20-1115
Published Online: August 2, 2021
... sufficient because a target variable value often varies due to diverse sources of uncertainty. For instance, in the fused deposition modeling process, the inconsistent results of replications are associated with natural randomness, environmental condition, and noisy process parameters. The point value...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. September 2020, 6(3): 031004.
Paper No: RISK-19-1081
Published Online: May 25, 2020
... boundary conditions, were considered for the uncertainty analysis. It is shown that, in each case, the interval values of the response parameters given by the universal gray number theory are consistent with the ranges of the input parameters, compared to those given by the interval analysis. It is also...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2020, 6(2): 021010.
Paper No: RISK-19-1023
Published Online: March 30, 2020
.... A dataset of the pin-on-disk test by ASTM-G99 standard is used for additional model validation. The rail system data are employed for validation of the model in the practical systems. Uncertainty is analyzed by Monte Carlo simulation to determine the variations of the predicted material loss. Finally...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. December 2019, 5(4): 041005.
Paper No: RISK-18-1060
Published Online: September 25, 2019
.... In this work, evidence theory has been coupled with BN to address inconsistency, conflict and incompleteness in the expert opinions. It combines the acquired knowledge from various subjective sources, thereby rendering accuracy in probability estimation. Another source of uncertainty in BN is model uncertainty...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2019, 5(2): 020906.
Paper No: RISK-18-1065
Published Online: April 15, 2019
... of the vehicle. The proposed approach consists of two main elements, namely uncertainty modeling of traffic conditions and model-based reliability analysis. In the uncertainty modeling step, a recently developed Gaussian mixture copula (GMC) method is employed to accurately represent the uncertainty in the road...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. December 2018, 4(4): 041009.
Paper No: RISK-17-1095
Published Online: April 30, 2018
...Harshini Devathi; Sunetra Sarkar A novel uncertainty quantification routine in the genre of adaptive sparse grid stochastic collocation (SC) has been proposed in this study to investigate the propagation of parametric uncertainties in a stall flutter aeroelastic system. In a hypercube stochastic...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. December 2018, 4(4): 041006.
Paper No: RISK-17-1070
Published Online: April 30, 2018
... to the particular stress–strain curves used for the materials in the model. We desire to estimate or bound response variation when only a few stress–strain curve samples are available from material testing. Propagation of just a few samples will usually result in significantly underestimated response uncertainty...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. December 2018, 4(4): 041008.
Paper No: RISK-17-1088
Published Online: April 30, 2018
...Fazel Khayatian; Maryam MeshkinKiya; Piero Baraldi; Francesco Di Maio; Enrico Zio Optimal sizing of peak loads has proven to be an important factor affecting the overall energy consumption of heating ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems. Uncertainty quantification of peak loads enables...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. December 2018, 4(4): 041005.
Paper No: RISK-17-1064
Published Online: April 30, 2018
...Arun Veeramany; James T. Woodward; Donald J. Hammerstrom Valuation of transactive energy (TE) systems should be supported by a structured and systematic approach to uncertainty identification, assessment, and treatment in the interest of risk-informed decision making. The proposed approach...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. December 2018, 4(4): 041002.
Paper No: RISK-17-1063
Published Online: April 18, 2018
... of learning BNs without discretizing the continuous variables or making assumptions about their conditional probability densities (CPDs). The applications of the learned BN to uncertainty quantification and model calibration are also investigated. The results of a mathematical example and an engineering...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. September 2018, 4(3): 031006.
Paper No: RISK-16-1072
Published Online: March 2, 2018
... to quantitative analysis, particularly on resource allocation optimization under uncertainty, such as with differentiation between disruption and regular supply variability [ 57 ], facility location design [ 58 , 59...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. September 2018, 4(3): 031002.
Paper No: RISK-16-1020
Published Online: December 20, 2017
... manuscript received October 18, 2017; published online December 20, 2017. Assoc. Editor: Sankaran Mahadevan. 28 01 2016 18 10 2017 Reliability Structural reliability Uncertainty Reliability is the ability that a component or system performs its intended function in routine...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. September 2018, 4(3): 031004.
Paper No: RISK-17-1007
Published Online: December 20, 2017
... Uncertainty Computer numerical control (CNC) machine tools widely function as key equipment to process large-scale products in manufacturing. With the increasing importance of CNC machine tools in the high-end manufacturing field, it is more and more necessary to improve the accuracy of machine tools...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2018, 4(2): 021008.
Paper No: RISK-17-1011
Published Online: October 5, 2017
...Stefan Erschen; Fabian Duddeck; Matthias Gerdts; Markus Zimmermann In the early development phase of complex technical systems, uncertainties caused by unknown design restrictions must be considered. In order to avoid premature design decisions, sets of good designs, i.e., designs which satisfy all...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2018, 4(2): 021005.
Paper No: RISK-17-1026
Published Online: October 4, 2017
... of this information fusion model in fault diagnosis is beneficial in two aspects, diagnostic applicability and diagnostic accuracy. Additionally, this model can overcome the uncertainty of information and equipment to increase diagnostic accuracy. Two case studies are implemented by this information fusion model...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2018, 4(2): 021006.
Paper No: RISK-17-1044
Published Online: October 3, 2017
.... C. , 2016 , “ Handling Uncertainty in the Remnant Fatigue Life Assessment of Offshore Process Pipework ,” ASME Paper No. IMECE2016-65504. 10.1115/IMECE2016-65504 [5] Khan , F...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2018, 4(2): 021004.
Paper No: RISK-17-1025
Published Online: October 3, 2017
..., uncertainty is estimated by using the Monte Carlo simulation. It is observed that by increasing the crack length, the standard deviation (the measure of uncertainty) increases. Also, it is noted that the reduction in stress ratio has the similar effect. Then, stochastic crack growth model, proposed by Yang...